Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.573417 2.696599 2.825423 2.970726 3.130709 3.302240 3.501080
2025-10-26 2.378827 2.549462 2.735855 2.956453 3.212958 3.505116 3.868053
2025-11-02 2.213597 2.412452 2.636959 2.912934 3.248559 3.651346 4.184492
2025-11-09 2.046567 2.256788 2.499766 2.806860 3.193258 3.676507 4.350765
2025-11-16 1.921941 2.140076 2.397200 2.729993 3.161444 3.721669 4.543485
2025-11-23 1.844312 2.073109 2.348042 2.712452 3.199628 3.857892 4.878716
2025-11-30 1.785109 2.023922 2.316023 2.711945 3.257163 4.023666 5.283509
2025-12-07 1.716274 1.958351 2.258397 2.672062 3.254984 4.100954 5.560817
2025-12-14 1.636533 1.874999 2.173095 2.588643 3.183193 4.064754 5.638727
2025-12-21 1.608849 1.856172 2.169897 2.615731 3.271033 4.281291 6.205060
2025-12-28 1.586025 1.842075 2.171480 2.648504 3.368828 4.525024 6.887438
2026-01-04 1.526175 1.777169 2.101858 2.575573 3.298705 4.478834 6.964190
2026-01-11 1.483174 1.736865 2.069018 2.561666 3.332180 4.638308 7.594842
2026-01-18 1.459451 1.721417 2.069750 2.597614 3.450421 4.974165 8.815350
2026-01-25 1.423117 1.687516 2.043163 2.590950 3.498482 5.190278 9.876841
2026-02-01 1.369446 1.628049 1.977849 2.520940 3.432020 5.167612 10.227640
2026-02-08 1.324245 1.578603 1.924712 2.466675 3.388254 5.186256 10.746538
2026-02-15 1.295608 1.550838 1.901282 2.457256 3.422761 5.379508 12.069286
2026-02-22 1.272427 1.529663 1.886228 2.459832 3.478899 5.633942 13.966218
2026-03-01 1.241150 1.496058 1.851491 2.428302 3.468088 5.729319 15.279818
2026-03-08 1.201274 1.449234 1.795636 2.359380 3.380432 5.621523 15.381707
2026-03-15 1.188749 1.440548 1.795829 2.382697 3.472826 5.989450 19.153535
2026-03-22 1.178066 1.434010 1.798773 2.410525 3.577177 6.422382 25.299238